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Premier League week 28 betting tips

EPL By: Collins Udeme | 01/04/2017

Premier League week 28 betting tips

Premier League football returns after the international break and FCNaija.com look-ahead to the action packed weekend.

The weekend headliners would be the Liverpool and Everton contest the Merseyside derby as Arsenal will lock horns with Manchester City at the Emirates.

Liverpool v Everton

The Reds will be without Adam Lallana for the 228th Merseyside derby because of a thigh problem sustained playing for England earlier this week. Jordan Henderson and Daniel Sturridge remain out, but Philippe Coutinho and Roberto Firminho are in contention. Everton's Seamus Coleman is sidelined for rest of the season with a broken leg, a fate set to be shared by Ramiro Funes Mori due to a knee injury. Morgan Schneiderlin has a calf injury and is also unavailable.

Everton's upturn goes back to December's derby. Beaten only once since losing at home to Liverpool in the last seconds, they've narrowed the gap on their rivals from 16 points on 1 January to six on 1 April. If Liverpool avoid defeat they will equal their best run of 13 league games without losing to Everton, set in 1978. The Reds have lost just one of the previous 20 Merseyside derbies in the Premier League (W10, D9) with Everton's last victory over their local rivals coming in October 2010. After winning just one league game in January and February, Liverpool have been undefeated in March (W2, D1),  I don't think Everton will go to Anfield and just try to to defend, which is the main reason I am backing Bet9ja's 1.73 winning odds in favour of Liverpool.

Liverpool 3-2 Everton

Burnley v Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham striker Vincent Janssen will be assessed after withdrawing from the Dutch squad with a chest infection. Harry Kane and Danny Rose remain out, while Erik Lamela is out for the season after hip surgery. The host's midfielder Steven Defour could be involved on Saturday after two months out with a hamstring injury. Johann Berg Gudmunsson is back in training as he steps up his recovery from knee ligament damage but he is not ready to play.

Sean Dyche's team will be delighted to be back in Lancashire, having played their last four games on the road, and Tottenham are only too aware that they are a different proposition at home. A glance at Burnley's hugely impressive home record will remind Spurs of the task ahead at Turf Moor. No team has gone to Burnley and rolled Burnley over and when one takes into consideration that Tottenham have only won six of their 36 top-flight matches at Burnley, most recently in March 1976, I think the Clarets' double chance 1X odds of 2.08 as offered on Bet9ja may just be the right way to place your bet.

Burnley 2-2 tottenham

Chelsea v Crystal Palace

Chelsea talisman Eden Hazard is fit for the Blues after missing their last game, and Belgium's subsequent two matches, with a calf injury. Thibaut Courtois may also be available despite sitting out Belgium's draw in Russia with a hip problem, while Diego Costa and Victor Moses are also doubts. Crystal Palace will be without Patrick van Aanholt because of an ankle injury while Fraizer Campbell and James McArthur are doubtful with respective hamstring and back problems. Chelsea loanee Loic Remy is ineligible to face his parent club as Mathieu Flamini returns in training after a muscle injury and could come into contention.

On paper this looks like a 17th home win in 18 games under the irrepressible Antonio Conte for Chelsea. A few key Chelsea players picked up knocks on international duty. Palace haven't conceded a league goal in nearly five hours, and if Wilfred Zaha can replicate his wonder goal for Ivory Coast in Russia during the international break then anything could happen in terms of a goal-goal situation.

Antonio Conte's side are getting so close to the finish line of the title race now, and they can win without playing well. Conte's side are getting so close to the finish line of the title race now, and they can win without playing well and after seeing off Stoke in their last match without ever looking that convincing and I believe the Blues will find a way to beat Palace too to claim Bet9ja's 1.30 winning odds.

Chelsea 3-1 Palace

Hull City v West Ham

Tom Huddlestone begins a three-match ban after the FA rejected Hull's appeal against his red card at Everton. Hull captain Michael Dawson is in contention after recovering from a calf injury and Oumar Niasse is also available. West Ham skipper Mark Noble is back in the squad after a dead leg but Michail Antonio is not fit enough to travel. Pedro Obiang's season is over after ankle surgery and Winston Reid is another long-term absentee. Since becoming head coach, Marco Silva has taken 10 points from a possible 12 at the KCOM Stadium. However, Hull have lost 12 of their last 13 on the road.

Hull have never lost at home to West Ham in the Premier League (W2, D2). The away team has never won this fixture in the Premier League, with seven home victories and two draws. Both draws came at Hull who are unbeaten in their last seven home games in all competitions. West Ham have suffered three straight league defeats as part of a five-match winless run (D2, L3) but I am backing Bet9ja's 2.88 winning odds in favour of the Hammers. A double chance X2 bet in favour of West Ham which attracts 1.48 odds as offered on Bet9ja seems the safest way to place your bet on this fixture.

Hull City 1-2 West Ham

Leicester City v Stoke City

Leicester midfielder Danny Drinkwater is fit despite having been unavailable for England duty because of a minor hip problem. Foxes skipper Wes Morgan remains out with a back injury while Nampalys Mendy is a doubt. For the Potters, Xherdan Shaqiri is set to miss an eighth straight game with a calf problem, despite starting for Switzerland last Saturday. Phil Bardsley is out after his red card against Chelsea, while Geoff Cameron's thigh problem will be monitored. Glen Johnson and Jack Butland both remain sidelined, although the latter is back in training after a long-term ankle injury. With Craig Shakespeare bidding to become the first British manager to win his first four Premier League games, Leicester suddenly look to be only a couple of victories away from safety.

Leicester have only lost one of their last seven league games against Stoke, but four of those matches have ended in draws. Two of the last three encounters have produced a Leicester fight back from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 with Stoke playing at home in both games. Stoke have won just one of their last eight games away to Leicester in all competitions (D4, L3). Stoke have had some mixed results of late, and although they won't roll over easily, I don't see them stopping Leicester's momentum under Craig Shakespeare. I fancy the Foxes' 1.26 double chance 1X odds on Bet9ja.

Leicester 2-0 Stoke City

Manchester United v West Bromwich

United haven’t lost at home since their second league fixture at Old Trafford against Man City. Since then they’ve gone W5-D7-L0, which suggests at the very least it’s a tough place to visit – nine of those 12 games have gone under 2.5 goals, and with main goal scorer Ibrahimović still missing for the Red Devils it would be a surprise to see many goals flying in.

West Brom have gone W1-D1-L8 against teams above them in the table this season, losing all five road games in that run and scoring just once, but they can take heart from the fact that Man Utd have gone W1-D6-L0 against sides between sixth and 13th at home, going into the break level in five of these seven games.

All this suggests that we’re likely to see an uneventful clash on Saturday afternoon, and we think that Man United will struggle to break through in the absence of Ibrahimovic.

Under 2.5 looks safe as Bet9ja has that option with a 1.95 odds, but for a longer shot we think a goalless draw could well be on the cards and that comes with a massive 4.85 odds on Bet9ja

Prediction

Football Prediktor

Manchester United 1-0 West Brom

 

Southampton v AFC Bournemouth

Southampton suffered a double blow at Spurs prior to the international break as they were beaten 2-1 and also lost new star striker Gabbiadini to injury. Bournemouth, meanwhile, recorded back-to-back victories as they beat both West Ham and Swansea at home and so they’ve moved up to 11th, trailing their south-coast hosts on goal difference alone, though Saints do have two games in hand.

Having lost only one of their first eight at home, Southampton have now lost three of their last four at St Mary’s, conceding nine goals in the process. Four of their five home victories this term have come over side’s currently below Bournemouth in the table.

Bournemouth have now picked up seven points from their last three, including a draw at Old Trafford in their last away game.

They’ve scored in all but one of their last nine on the road, and that was at Chelsea and without Gabbiadini, Southampton may struggle to outgun them. Indeed, the Saints have scored more than once in only two of their home games all season and so we’re siding with Bournemouth on the Double Chance which has a mouthwatering 2.12 odds on Bet9ja.

Also both sides scoring is also an explorable option which attracts a 1.75 odds on Bet9ja.

Prediction

Southampton 1-2 Bournemouth

 

Swansea City v  Middlesbrough

After a heavy defeat against Arsenal in their opening home game under Clement, the Swans have since won their last three at the Liberty Stadium, beating Southampton, Leicester and Burnley.

 They remain vulnerable defensively, however, as they’ve kept only one clean sheet in their last 14 overall but with Llorente and Sigurdsson in excellent form, they’ve scored in all but two of their nine games under Clement, with seven of these seeing more than two goals and four with more than three.

Boro looked much more open against Man Utd without Karanka in charge as they managed to score their first goal in five games. They seem to have realised that they need wins rather than draws to keep themselves in the division and since they’ve now kept only one clean sheet in their last seven even with their defensive approach, we could see goals in this one. We’re backing Over 2.5 which has an odd of 1.70 on Bet9ja

Prediction

Swansea 3-1 Middlesbrough

 

Watford v Sunderland                        

Watford’s back-to-back wins against Arsenal and Burnley earlier this year must feel like a very distant memory to the Vicarage Road faithful: since those victories, Watford have played out four winless games, losing in three, and they must try to rediscover their form for this home game against a struggling Sunderland side. The Black Cats have failed to score in any of their last four games following their 4-0 demolition of Crystal Palace and remain rooted to the bottom of the table.

Watford have been too inconsistent for us to back them in the match result markets, and Sunderland have come away from games against Watford with something to show for their efforts in five of their last six attempts, so Sunderland Draw is a value option that attracts a 3.50 0dds on Bet9ja

Prediction

Watford 1-1 Sunderland

Arsenal v Manchester City

City have won their last three away but each of these victories have come over sides currently in the bottom half and after their victory at Old Trafford early on in the season they’ve since lost and failed to score in all three of their trips to top-seven sides.

Indeed, the Citizens have struggled somewhat against their competitors for European spots all season as they’re just W2-D3-L4 against top-seven teams and as a result Arsenal who are in dire need might snap this one.

In any case, the Emirates faithful might get treated to a few goals though as the last seven league meetings between these two yielded 27 – that’s an average of 3.86.

Over 3.5 is 2.42 odds with Bet9ja.

 

Prediction

Arsenal 3-2 Manchester City
Football Prediktor
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